“Wars often begin with optimistic assumptions about timelines and outcomes. History repeatedly shows that those assumptions are frequently wrong.”
Tag: War
Ask A Genius 1631: Kyiv Normalcy Under Fire: Risk, Reform, Exercise Micro-Dosing, and Sex Education
“My principles are universalist. I am pro–human rights.”
Ask A Genius 1588: Zelensky’s Mar-a-Lago Optics, Trump’s Putin Signals, and the Donbas Deadlock
“Putin is unlikely to agree to that outcome. Trump is seventy-eight and was never known for sustained intellectual discipline. He is not unintelligent, but he is mentally undisciplined. He will likely keep acting in increasingly blatant ways until the midterms or remaining institutions restrain him. Through courts, lawsuits, or polling.”
Ask A Genius 1567: Epstein Files, Ukraine Sanctions, and the Fraying Power of Trump
In this interview, Scott Douglas Jacobsen speaks with Rick Rosner about newly surfaced Epstein emails in which Jeffrey Epstein derides Donald Trump and alleges he “knew about the girls,” alongside Trump’s sliding approval ratings amid a 43-day shutdown. They connect this weakening support to razor-thin Republican margins in Congress and Trump’s ongoing use of executive power, from rebranding the Pentagon as the “Department of War” to a private White House ballroom project. The discussion then shifts to the G7 foreign ministers’ meeting, Canada’s sanctions on Russia, the “shadow fleet” moving sanctioned oil, and the realities of independent war reporting.
Ask A Genius 49 – War 3
In-Sight Publishing Ask A Genius 49 – War 3 Scott Douglas Jacobsen and Rick Rosner January 5, 2017 Scott: That’s some background. What will be future wars Rick: Future wars will, obviously, be fought in a variety of ways including things that aren’t clearly combat along the WWII model. But I think when people talk …
Ask A Genius 48 – War 2
In-Sight Publishing Ask A Genius 48 – War 2 Scott Douglas Jacobsen and Rick Rosner January 4, 2017 Scott: That leads to thoughts about the drone campaign, ongoing, and cyberwarfare by Russia, as you noted. The future would seem to then presage more cyberwarfare and more drone, or at-a-distance, mechanized warfare. Rick: Let’s go back …
Ask A Genius 47 – War 1
In-Sight Publishing Ask A Genius 47 – War 1 Scott Douglas Jacobsen and Rick Rosner January 3, 2017 Scott: War is a perennial human activity. How will war affect the future durability of nations? How will this change in the future in general? Rick: When you mentioned that we’d be talking about the future of …
Rick Rosner 