Ask A Genius 573 – 80-Hour Countdown

In-Sight Publishing

October 31, 2020

[Beginning of recorded material]

Scott Douglas Jacobsen: So, what’s going off the election?

Rosner: All right. So, the whole country, we’ve got 80 hours to go until the polls close in California. Then we probably have a couple of days to go until we get it clear. It is not clear at this point that we’ll have a clear picture of who won within a few hours, because right now we’re more than 90 million early ballots cast. We could get to one hundred million. By law, most states can’t count early ballots until the polls close. So, it is more complicated. You’d think that everybody getting their votes in early would mean for early counting, that the stupid laws of most states would lead to the opposite. That they can’t count anybody’s vote until the polls are closed. And all the early ballots are harder to count than the ballots cast into voting machines. So, we won’t know immediately, probably.

So, we’ve got 80 hours plus another day or two probably of anxiety and, maybe, four years of anxiety if Trump wins. But it doesn’t look like I’ve been watching the numbers, the poll aggregators, the sites, the websites, look at all the polls and rank them and adjust them for reliability and bias and come up with because looking at any one poll is not good. It is much better to look at five dozen aggregated polls. So one poll aggregator, 538.com, gives Trump a 10% chance of winning. Another aggregator, The Economist, gives Trump a 4% chance of winning. One polling company captured what people were thinking last time shows much more solid numbers for Biden this time compared to Clinton the last time.

So, we’re anxious, and there’s more reason in terms of the political climate, which is much more Nazi-ish this time around. Nobody really knew exactly how shitty Trump would turn out to be. Nobody thought the guy would be jacked up on steroids and having these super spreaders, none of this was easily predicted in 2016, when he got elected. But it has now been calculated that his rallies have caused 30 thousand or have led to 30 thousand Covid cases and 700 deaths. He’s not stopping. He’s continuing to have rallies. He’ll probably keep having rallies even after Election Day. In Texas, Kamala Harris’s the tour bus was pretty much run off the road by a 50 truck Trumper attack force, just one that forced her off the road, forced her to cancel all the rest of her Texas appearances.

And the cops refused to do anything. So, all that feels more dire than any shit that happened in 2016, the potential for more violence. We’ll have some violence over the next week or so. It won’t be nationwide. It won’t be a civil war, but there will probably be a dozen incidents of fisticuffs and, maybe, guns being brandished at polling places. So, things feel ugly. Nevertheless, the numbers give cause for optimism, 90 million early votes cast. I think I already said, which will double the number of early votes cast in 2016, which were only 47 million. Biden, has a healthy lead; I’m guessing maybe as much as 15% among the early votes, which will be roughly 60% of the votes cast this time around. Day of votes, Trump will have a healthy lead maybe out of 60 million votes cast.

Trump will have a margin of 6 to 9 million votes. But overall, you’re looking at Biden having a 7 to 11 million vote margin of victory. Unless, there’s severe fucking with the vote. But this whole next week is going to be just ugly and nervous making. You mentioned that the Trump will claim victory regardless of what the results are and most outlets this time, most legitimate news outlets this time, will exercise restraint about prematurely announcing states that have been won because the nature of vote counting this time around won’t give you immediate results. There’s just this huge potential to be wrong.

So it is like right wing sites like OAN and Breitbart, and just all these fringe right wing sites will announce that Trump won and Trump himself will announce that he’s won and that anything diverging from that is a lie. He’ll run to the courts to prevent this fraud that he says is happening. And so, all this stuff is going to play out immediately after the election. But when the dust clears, we’re all hoping, fairly optimistic, that Trump is done. He still has 77 days left as president, even if he loses. People expect him to do a bunch of horrible shit. So, anyway, that’s what we’re at now.

 [End of recorded material]

Authors[1]

Rick Rosner

American Television Writer

RickRosner@Hotmail.Com

www.rickrosner.org

(Updated July 25, 2019)

*High range testing (HRT) should be taken with honest skepticism grounded in the limited empirical development of the field at present, even in spite of honest and sincere efforts. If a higher general intelligence score, then the greater the variability in, and margin of error in, the general intelligence scores because of the greater rarity in the population.*

According to some semi-reputable sources gathered in a listing hereRick G. Rosner may have among America’s, North America’s, and the world’s highest measured IQs at or above 190 (S.D. 15)/196 (S.D. 16) based on several high range test performances created by Christopher HardingJason BettsPaul Cooijmans, and Ronald Hoeflin. He earned 12 years of college credit in less than a year and graduated with the equivalent of 8 majors. He has received 8 Writers Guild Awards and Emmy nominations, and was titled 2013 North American Genius of the Year by The World Genius Directory with the main “Genius” listing here.

He has written for Remote ControlCrank YankersThe Man ShowThe EmmysThe Grammys, and Jimmy Kimmel Live!. He worked as a bouncer, a nude art model, a roller-skating waiter, and a stripper. In a television commercialDomino’s Pizza named him the “World’s Smartest Man.” The commercial was taken off the air after Subway sandwiches issued a cease-and-desist. He was named “Best Bouncer” in the Denver Area, Colorado, by Westwood Magazine.

Rosner spent much of the late Disco Era as an undercover high school student. In addition, he spent 25 years as a bar bouncer and American fake ID-catcher, and 25+ years as a stripper, and nearly 30 years as a writer for more than 2,500 hours of network television. Errol Morris featured Rosner in the interview series entitled First Person, where some of this history was covered by Morris. He came in second, or lost, on Jeopardy!, sued Who Wants to Be a Millionaire? over a flawed question and lost the lawsuit. He won one game and lost one game on Are You Smarter Than a Drunk Person? (He was drunk). Finally, he spent 37+ years working on a time-invariant variation of the Big Bang Theory.

Currently, Rosner sits tweeting in a bathrobe (winter) or a towel (summer). He lives in Los AngelesCalifornia with his wife, dog, and goldfish. He and his wife have a daughter. You can send him money or questions at LanceVersusRick@Gmail.Com, or a direct message via Twitter, or find him on LinkedIn, or see him on YouTube.

Scott Douglas Jacobsen

Founder, In-Sight Publishing

Scott.D.Jacobsen@Gmail.Com

In-Sight Publishing

Scott Douglas Jacobsen is the Founder of In-Sight Publishing and Editor-in-Chief of In-Sight: Independent Interview-Based Journal (ISSN 2369-6885). Jacobsen works for science and human rights, especially women’s and children’s rights. He considers the modern scientific and technological world the foundation for the provision of the basics of human life throughout the world and the advancement of human rights as the universal movement among peoples everywhere.

Footnotes

[1] Four format points for the session article:

  1. Bold text following “Scott Douglas Jacobsen:” or “Jacobsen:” is Scott Douglas Jacobsen & non-bold text following “Rick Rosner:” or “Rosner:” is Rick Rosner.
  2. Session article conducted, transcribed, edited, formatted, and published by Scott.
  3. Footnotes & in-text citations in the interview & references after the interview.
  4. This session article has been edited for clarity and readability.

For further information on the formatting guidelines incorporated into this document, please see the following documents:

  1. American Psychological Association. (2010). Citation Guide: APA. Retrieved from http://www.lib.sfu.ca/system/files/28281/APA6CitationGuideSFUv3.pdf.
  2. Humble, A. (n.d.). Guide to Transcribing. Retrieved from http://www.msvu.ca/site/media/msvu/Transcription%20Guide.pdf.

License and Copyright

License

In-Sight Publishing by Scott Douglas Jacobsen is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. Based on a work at www.in-sightjournal.com and www.rickrosner.org.

Copyright

© Scott Douglas Jacobsen, Rick Rosner, and In-Sight Publishing 2012-2020. Unauthorized use and/or duplication of this material without express and written permission from this site’s author and/or owner is strictly prohibited. Excerpts and links may be used, provided that full and clear credit is given to Scott Douglas Jacobsen, Rick Rosner, and In-Sight Publishing with appropriate and specific direction to the original content.

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