Ask A Genius 400 – Moore’s Law As Moore’s Laws (1)

In-Sight Publishing

Ask A Genius 400 – Moore’s Law As Moore’s Laws (1)

October 2, 2018

[Beginning of recorded material]

Scott Douglas Jacobsen: What is the plural nature of Moore’s Law?

Rick Rosner: People have been arguing for years. Moore’s Law is a set of laws about the rates at which various computer components shrink down, become more powerful, or the number of transistors you can jam onto a chip.

It is a combination of these laws. Every 18 months, something is supposed to happen. A micro transistor is supposed to shrink and so on. I think it celebrated its 50th birthday. It has been going for a while.

For at least 20 years, people have been speculating when it will stop being able to continue. Some argue it already is past that point. There was a well-respected person giving a speech in March saying that the more computation you do then the more heat you generate.

The number of calculations per second is such that there is not efficient way past a certain limit, even if you keep shrinking the transistors, to push the heat out of it, especially if you’re producing 3-dimensional stacked systems.

Everybody in the past saying it was over, then it hasn’t been. At the very least, it has to slow down. These doubling times of three years and so on. But the performance of computers now, instead of doubling every two or three years, can’t keep going.

It looks like there are only, according to this article, doubling times of 20 years. That’s thing one.

[End of recorded material]

Authors[1]

Rick Rosner

American Television Writer

RickRosner@Hotmail.Com

Rick Rosner

Scott Douglas Jacobsen

Editor-in-Chief, In-Sight Publishing

Scott.D.Jacobsen@Gmail.Com

In-Sight Publishing

Footnotes

[1] Four format points for the session article:

  1. Bold text following “Scott Douglas Jacobsen:” or “Jacobsen:” is Scott Douglas Jacobsen & non-bold text following “Rick Rosner:” or “Rosner:” is Rick Rosner.
  2. Session article conducted, transcribed, edited, formatted, and published by Scott.
  3. Footnotes & in-text citations in the interview & references after the interview.
  4. This session article has been edited for clarity and readability.

For further information on the formatting guidelines incorporated into this document, please see the following documents:

  1. American Psychological Association. (2010). Citation Guide: APA. Retrieved from http://www.lib.sfu.ca/system/files/28281/APA6CitationGuideSFUv3.pdf.
  2. Humble, A. (n.d.). Guide to Transcribing. Retrieved from http://www.msvu.ca/site/media/msvu/Transcription%20Guide.pdf.

License and Copyright

License
In-Sight Publishing and In-Sight: Independent Interview-Based Journal by Scott Douglas Jacobsen is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Based on a work at www.in-sightjournal.com and www.rickrosner.org.

Copyright

© Scott Douglas Jacobsen, Rick Rosner, and In-Sight Publishing 2012-2018. Unauthorized use and/or duplication of this material without express and written permission from this site’s author and/or owner is strictly prohibited. Excerpts and links may be used, provided that full and clear credit is given to Scott Douglas Jacobsen, Rick Rosner, and In-Sight Publishing with appropriate and specific direction to the original content.

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