Ask A Genius 401 – Moore’s Law As Moore’s Laws (2)

In-Sight Publishing

Ask A Genius 401 – Moore’s Law As Moore’s Laws (2)

October 3, 2018

[Beginning of recorded material]

Scott Douglas Jacobsen: How did the conversation with the AI guy go?

Rick Rosner: I talked to a guy who works in AI. He told me that I was way off about human-level AI in the near future.

I said that we were talking about different things. I said I was talking about computational density. That is, we are coming close to the computational density of the human brain.

But we are, certainly, farther away from replicating the architecture of the brain. At that point, we got distracted and then the conversation fizzled out. He would have fought me if the conversation continued.

He would argue that it would take about 100 years or more to replicate the architecture of the human brain. I disagree. I think replicating the architecture will go slow initially and then fast.

It will be a hockey stick thing,  which is seen everything in the development of technology. It goes hand-in-hand with science fiction stuff. The predicted stuff never shows up as soon as it is predicted to show up in science fiction, but, eventually, it does show up.

If you combine both things, it will take longer to replicate brain architecture. But when it takes place, it will happen in a hockey stick manner. It will be sputtery and puttering and not great and then become super efficient.

[End of recorded material]


Rick Rosner

American Television Writer


Rick Rosner

Scott Douglas Jacobsen

Editor-in-Chief, In-Sight Publishing


In-Sight Publishing


[1] Four format points for the session article:

  1. Bold text following “Scott Douglas Jacobsen:” or “Jacobsen:” is Scott Douglas Jacobsen & non-bold text following “Rick Rosner:” or “Rosner:” is Rick Rosner.
  2. Session article conducted, transcribed, edited, formatted, and published by Scott.
  3. Footnotes & in-text citations in the interview & references after the interview.
  4. This session article has been edited for clarity and readability.

For further information on the formatting guidelines incorporated into this document, please see the following documents:

  1. American Psychological Association. (2010). Citation Guide: APA. Retrieved from
  2. Humble, A. (n.d.). Guide to Transcribing. Retrieved from

License and Copyright

In-Sight Publishing and In-Sight: Independent Interview-Based Journal by Scott Douglas Jacobsen is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Based on a work at and


© Scott Douglas Jacobsen, Rick Rosner, and In-Sight Publishing 2012-2018. Unauthorized use and/or duplication of this material without express and written permission from this site’s author and/or owner is strictly prohibited. Excerpts and links may be used, provided that full and clear credit is given to Scott Douglas Jacobsen, Rick Rosner, and In-Sight Publishing with appropriate and specific direction to the original content.

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